Some time ago I met with leaders of several NGOs from a ‘Debt and Development Platform’. The quality of our exchanges gave me the idea to continue our discussions on debt here with you.

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Oil prices have gone down in recent weeks from the peak reached in mid-summer, but they are still much higher than at the beginning of the decade. With high oil and coal prices, there are stronger incentives to use less fossil fuels. Alternative energies become financially more attractive. These developments can bring about reductions in greenhouse emissions and contribute to mitigate climate change. But it all can go away if the price of oil comes down substantially. So we could seize the opportunity of high oil and coal prices to lock-in these incentive effects on climate change mitigation. This could be achieved by introducing an internationally harmonized floor to the user cost of emitting carbon by using oil and coal. To implement this floor, a variable carbon levy could be enacted by a group of participating countries. The levy would kick in if and when the price of oil and coal were to fall below a pre-agreed threshold. No additional costs would be imposed on anyone above those already being paid now. And this would create certainty to guide consumers and investors in their behavior and resource allocations towards less greenhouse gases emitting activities.

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The failure of the recent WTO Ministerial to achieve its objective of agreeing on modalities for negotiations in agriculture and NAMA is a setback for the Doha Round. The latest in a series of failed attempts, the breakdown of the July talks has led to concerns about the demise of the entire Round. A recent Financial Times editorial even coined the unfortunate but catchy phrase, “dead as a Doha”.

Does this latest setback really mean the end of the Round?

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